Serie A Betting Preview | 23-05-15

20th May 2015

It’s the penultimate weekend of Serie A action and with the title and relegation places already decided, all that’s left to play for is Champions League and Europa League qualification for next season.

But Italy’s top tier continues to be full of goals – reversing the tired stereotype of Serie A being a defensive league. Matchday 36 saw a total of 31 goals at an average of 3.1 goals-per-game. This season Serie A is averaging more goals-per-game than the Premier League and La Liga.

So it makes sense to inspect the goals markets again this weekend. Palermo welcome Fiorentina to Sicily with Both Teams To Score on offer at 1.90 with 188BET and that should be our first port of call.

Palermo bagged a 1-0 win away to Cagliari in the island derby last time out but taking their results at their Stadio Renzo Barbera home in isolation, the Rosanero have returned a huge 13/18 (72%) of Both Teams To Score winners, netting in all bar three and keeping just three clean sheets across the same spread.

Fiorentina remain in a battle for a Europa League place and managed to bag a third successive Serie A victory on Monday when strolling to a 3-0 success over beleaguered Parma. It was the ninth game in 10 that La Viola had proved profitable for Over 2.5 Goals backers and Vincenzo Montella’s men have been good for goal-hungry punters this season.

On the road, the Tuscans have scored in 14 of their 18 away league fixtures but kept just three shutouts of their own. Unsurprisingly, they also feature high on the BTTS table with 11/18 (61%) of their matches away from Florence seeing goals at both ends.

If we put the two teams’ home and away Both Teams To Score records together and find the average, we should have a 67% expectancy for BTTS to bank again. If we put that percentage expectancy into odds, we’d be looking at around a 1.50 shot.

It’s a similar story when Udinese take on Sassuolo. Both sides are playing out their campaign in the bottom half of the season with a sense of freedom. But again, it’s their penchant for goals that has grabbed my attention.

Udinese have netted in all bar three of their 18 home league matches this season but their record of only three clean sheets at their Stadio Friuli base has led to a huge 12/18 (67%) of Both Teams To Score winners – the last six Little Zebras’ games on home soil have rewarded BTTS backers.

Last weekend Sassuolo saw off Milan 3-2 in front of their own fans as Eusebio Di Francesco’s men continue to upset the odds. The Neroverdi may have only bagged four road wins this campaign but they have managed to score in 13 of those 18 fixtures.

Sassuolo have shutout their opponents on the road in only five matches leading us onto a very impressive 12/18 (67%) Both Teams To Score encounters when playing away. Ten of the Neroverdi’s last 12 on their travels have delivered for BTTS punters so we’ll get involved again with Bet365 offering 2.10 on a repeat this weekend.

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