Glorious Goodwood – Day 2 Betting Preview

28th July 2015

14:35 Goodwood (1m 4f Group 3)

188BET seem to have this one right, with the first three in the market looking the only possible winners of this Group 3 contest. Highland Reel will go off favourite for the Aidan O’Brien stable but there are serious question marks about this animal. After an impressive second place in the French Derby at the end of May, Highland Reel came into his next assignment (the Irish Derby) as one of the market leaders. That day he was utterly outclassed though as Jack Hobbs won by five lengths and the O’Brien horse was way back in fifth over 10 lengths adrift. Was it the firm ground? Well, no because he won on the firm at Goodwood last year so there are questions for this horse to answer on Wednesday.

At 15/8 we’ll ignore him and instead invest faith in the David Brown trained Medrano. This horse has been campaigned at these middle distances more frequently than most in the field and he seems to go in most conditions. Third place in the Chester Vase and Cocked Hat Stakes hardly set the pulse racing but his stunning six length win at Hamilton last time out in the Glasgow Stakes got us all off our feet. Hopefully they’ll still be a little bit of juice in the ground for Medrano here and he should be capable of a big run and with concern over the favourite’s (Highland Reel) consistency and general stable form he has to be the pick here.

15:10 Goodwood (1m Group 1)

The highlight race of the week and one of the key contest of the flat racing season. This had been billed as another ‘Duel On The Downs’ between French horse Solow and Aidan O’Brien’s challenger Gleneagles. Sadly though Gleneagles was not declared at the 48 hour stage and the heart was ripped out of the race.

Queen Anne winner Solow has been chalked up by 188 Bet at 4/7 for this contest and you can’t grumble at that. The Freddy Head trained horse has won his last seven races and has seen off some big guns in the process. The Grey Gatsby was crushed by him back in March at Meydan and Solow famously got the better of Hong Kong superstar Able Friend in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot. This horse could be one of the best milers we see over the next few seasons and it looks very difficult to see him getting beat. The ground, trip and conditions will suit and victory looks inevitable, it’s just a shame 2000 Guineas winner Gleneagles isn’t taking him on.

So what’s the bet then? Well there are eight runners lining up so let’s make sure we take advantage of those each way terms. Arod is the horse that will hopefully make us money here. He’s 5/6 in 188 Bet’s Place market and looks unlikely to finish out the first three. Some would say he’s been one of the stars of the season as he’s picked up two Group races and been placed in another couple. Fourth in last year’s Derby, he’s certainly not let that form down as a four year old with a second place in the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes and a third in the Group 1 Lockinge. Since those placed efforts he’s gone on to win a Group 3 and a Group 2 and looks a good thing to post a solid effort here. Arod looks locked in for a first three finish.

15:45 Goodwood (5f Group 3)

The Richard Hannon trained King Of Rooks heads the betting in this Group 3 contest at 11/10 and he definitely looks the one to be on. A captivating winner at Sandown in May, (where he beat subsequent Coventry Stakes winner Buratino) he went on from that to finish third in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. While that performance looks slightly disappointing on paper it can be explained by poor riding tactics on the day by Frankie Dettori. The Italian was too exuberant with this colt as he looked to get the better of stablemate Log Out Island and in turn let the winner Waterloo Bridge get the better of both them.

There looks to be a couple of rags in this race so the smart move might be to once again dip into 188 Bet’s Place market and snaffle up the 6/5 on Lathom finishing in the first three. It was hard not to be impressed by the Richard Fahey trained horse’s win in the Super Sprint at Newbury earlier this month. A field of 22 lined up and Lathom had top weight of nine stone to contend with, written off by the bookmakers at odds of 28/1 he managed to find the winning post before any other animal and has every right to be a big player here. 188 Bet make him 6/5 to finish in the frame and that looks very reasonable.

 

188 Best Bets

14:35 Goodwood – Medrano to Win (7/2)

15:10 Goodwood – Arod to Place (5/6)

15:45 Goodwood – Lathom to Place (6/5)

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