English Premier League Betting Preview Week 18

25th December 2015

Stoke v Man Utd

There’s been no more important match in the reign of Manchester United coach Louis Van Gaal than this one. Knocked out the Champions League group stages, no win in four in the league and out of the Top 4, it’s been a trying few weeks for the Dutchman. His side are 2.30 to win at Stoke on Boxing Day and you sense we might see a reaction from this bruised side. The Potters are fresh from a home defeat against Crystal Palace and United look a bet at 2.30 to get back on track.


Aston Villa v West Ham

If you look at the Premier League Form Table both these sides lie in the bottom four and this may be a decent opportunity for Aston Villa to grab three points they desperately need. Recent draws at Southampton and Newcastle have pointed to a brighter future and they can overcome a West Ham side with no win since October to their name. At 2.53 it’s not the biggest value bet of the weekend but it looks a fair one.


Bournemouth v Crystal Palace

Bournemouth are now up to the giddy heights of 14th in the Premier League after three successive wins over Chelsea, Manchester United and West Brom respectively. With those victories comes a squeezing of their price in this match and the South Coast club offer no value at 2.32 to beat an excellent Crystal Palace side. Palace are unbeaten in four and find themselves (deservedly) in the Top 6. They look worth backing at 2.90 to continue their outstanding away form.


Chelsea v Watford

10 points separate these sides with the promoted outfit ahead and eight positions higher than the champions. Imagine suggesting such a thing back in August? While last weekend’s win over Sunderland was encouraging for Chelsea they need more of those performances before they can be trusted. Watford +1 on the Asian Handicap is available to back at 2.06 and that looks the call here. This is a side on the fringes of the Top 4 and aiming for a fifth consecutive win. Get with them.


Liverpool v Leicester

What a fascinating match this is! League leaders Leicester just continue to win three points after three points and it’s hard to find reasons to confidently back odds on Liverpool. Jurgen Klopp’s side have picked up just one point from their last nine and look opposable at 1.91. However this may be a case of asking Leicester to go to the well once too often after a brutal few weeks and it’s the draw that stands out as value at 3.75.


Man City v Sunderland

Man City suffered a bad defeat on Monday night as they stumbled at The Emirates and if Sunderland weren’t in poor form themselves you could make a case for them at the big odds. To be fair though a rejuvenated Chelsea and an in-form Arsenal and Watford represent a stern test and at 10.30 they are worthy of a second glance. City are well and truly blowing hot and cold this season so let’s take them on by backing Sunderland +1.5 at generous odds of 2.42.


Swansea v West Brom

It’s just one win in 14 for Swansea yet 188 BET have them at odds on to defeat West Brom on Boxing Day. It’s a price that simply has to be taken on. The Baggies had two players sent off last week in their defeat to Bournemouth and with 11 on the pitch here can hurt the Swans. The Welsh side drew 0-0 at home to off-colour West Ham last Sunday and there’s not enough recent evidence to support them here. West Brom with a 0.5 goal start at 1.96 looks the call.


Tottenham v Norwich

Bookmakers now seem willing to respect Tottenham and because of that they’re starting to go off at prohibitive prices. Yes, they should be too strong for Norwich on Boxing Day but recent dropped points against Newcastle and West Brom are still too fresh in the mind to plunge in at 1.42. Norwich will be buzzing after their win at Old Trafford last week and the draw looks overpriced at 4.55.


Newcastle v Everton

Everton have dropped to 10th after just one win in their last five games and have been a frustrating side to follow this season. Priced at 2.14 to win at St James Park it’s another Boxing Day price that can be vehemently ignored. Newcastle are unbeaten in three and while the home draw against Aston Villa was frustrating they can be competitive here. Back the draw at a chunky 3.60.


Southampton v Arsenal

What’s going on at Southampton? They’ve dropped to 12th after four defeats in their last five matches and there’s no sign that this poor run of form will end here on Boxing Day evening. The Saints take on second place Arsenal who are fresh from beating Man City on Monday night. This should be a hard assignment for Arsene Wenger’s side but it’s the kind of game they need to win if they want to finish top this season. A one goal Arsenal win looks an appealing bet at 3.51.


Premier League Best Bets

Crystal Palace to beat Bournemouth (2.90)

Watford +1 Asian Handicap v Chelsea (2.06)

West Brom +0.5 v Swansea (1.96)

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